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South Africa to Overhaul 2026 Budget Process Amid Coalition Tensions and Economic Pressures

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South Africa’s National Treasury has announced plans to comprehensively reform its budget-preparation process starting in 2026, following a tumultuous year in which the national budget had to be revised twice due to political disagreements within the new coalition government. The Treasury acknowledged in a statement that the current budgeting framework has become outdated and no longer reflects the country’s evolving fiscal, political, and institutional dynamics.

This decision comes after a detailed internal review of the budgeting system revealed significant weaknesses, including fragmented decision-making, poor alignment between policy and budget allocations, and a lack of consensus on necessary trade-offs in a context of limited fiscal space and growing public demands. The Treasury emphasized that the 2026 budget reform will focus on clarifying fiscal trade-offs, reducing wasteful spending, and prioritizing high-impact programs that can stimulate inclusive growth and service delivery.

The backdrop to this shift is the political transformation following the 2024 national elections, which resulted in the African National Congress (ANC) losing its parliamentary majority for the first time in decades. A 10-party coalition government was formed, led by the ANC and including the Democratic Alliance (DA) as the second-largest partner. The coalition dynamic has introduced new challenges to the budget process, with competing fiscal ideologies and priorities delaying consensus.

Proposed tax increases in this year’s budget met stiff resistance from coalition partners, particularly the DA, which called on Finance Minister Enoch Godongwana to focus on growing the economy rather than increasing the tax burden on citizens. The disagreements forced the Treasury to revise the national budget proposal twice, delaying critical legislation such as the Appropriation Bill. Lawmakers are expected to vote on the bill today, enabling implementation of the most recent version of the budget.

Despite these tensions, the Treasury affirmed its commitment to fiscal discipline. It confirmed that the 2025 budget will maintain key objectives such as stabilizing national debt, achieving a primary budget surplus, and increasing infrastructure investment priorities that will also carry over into the reformed 2026 budget.

This upcoming overhaul of the budget system is expected to bring more transparency, coherence, and responsiveness to South Africa’s public financial management. Economic analysts say that if implemented effectively, the reforms could restore investor confidence, improve public service delivery, and better align the country’s fiscal policy with its socio-economic development goals.

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