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Rising UK youth unemployment tests government over wage pledge

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Official figures show the UK youth unemployment rate for people aged 16-24 surged to a 10-year high of 16.1 per cent in the final quarter of 2025 significantly above its mid-2025 level and now higher than the average in the euro zone. This sharp deterioration in the job market comes as the Labour government presses ahead with its pledge to phase out lower minimum wage rates for younger workers and align them more closely with adult pay levels.

The rise in youth joblessness is concentrated in sectors that typically employ large numbers of young people such as retail, hospitality and IT where vacancies for lower-paid roles have fallen more sharply than in higher-paid segments. Economists and business groups point to the significant increases in the minimum wage for younger age groups, higher employer social security costs introduced last year, and general economic headwinds as key factors that have dampened hiring.

The government’s flagship pledge to end lower wage rates for 18 to 20 year-olds has come under intense scrutiny as the youth unemployment crisis deepens. Critics argue that steeper youth wage increases have made it more costly for employers especially small firms to take on unskilled or entry-level workers, resulting in fewer opportunities for young jobseekers. Some business representatives and economists suggest that future wage decisions may need to be reconsidered to prevent further weakening of the youth labour market.

Labour’s critics have seized on the figures to contend that policy choices are exacerbating the problem, while the government maintains that rising pay is vital for low-earning workers and that the minimum wage increase remains essential for fair pay.

Separately, broader labour market data points to slowdown in overall job growth, with total unemployment rising and wage growth cooling, intensifying calls on the Bank of England to consider interest rate cuts to support economic activity.

The rising number of unemployed young people poses both economic and political challenges for the UK, as policymakers grapple with balancing fair wages, business costs and opportunities for the next generation entering the workforce.

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